The Federal Reserve has finally done what many have thought wouldn’t happen…The Fed will begin shrinking its bloated, $4.5 Trillion balance sheet in October. This is the right thing to do but the question is can our economy handle it? No, our economy is addicted to this funny money so this move by the Federal Reserve is the pin inching closer and closer to the balloon. This tightening by the FED will lead to the exposure of this fake recovery. All of the malinvestment that has taken place in our economy for years now will be shown for what it is…unsustainable! The question is…why is Janet Yellen really doing this? Why does she seem so bold and fearless now? Let me connect a few dots for you and I believe I have the answer to this odd scenario we find ourselves in today.
President Trump worked out a debt ceiling deal with Democrats to push out the debt ceiling issue until December 8th. Trump is acting more and more like a democrat and the status quo of Washington D.C.! The swamp isn’t going to be drained and size of government will not be cut either! This is not going to end well when our national debt passed $20 Trillion on September 8th! Protect your savings! The dollar isn’t safe so act accordingly.
Hurricane Harvey is looking like it will be the costliest natural disaster to ever occur in the United States. This devastation has destroyed the lives of millions of people. The Keynesians view disasters as a good jobs program that can boost the economy and keep spending going. How ridiculous is this!? But this is really how these “economists” think and it’s crazy that people can believe this garbage. Price gouging is seen as a negative but allowing prices to rise during disasters allows goods to flow to their most efficient uses. It’s basic economics and the government shouldn’t be interfering because they screw things up just like they always do!
Janet Yellen gave a speech in Jackson Hole Wyoming last week and she didn’t address monetary policy at all! Many commentators were surprised by this and she focused mainly on regulations. She pointed out how the FED and congress responded correctly during the 2008 financial crisis by imposing more regulations on the financial sector. She says these regulations have made our economy more resilient than it was 10 years ago! The main point missed by all commentators out there is that she’s doing this to set up the narrative that deregulation will be to blame for the next financial crisis! This will be the way to protect her legacy and the democrat party and it will leave all the blame on Donald Trump and the Republican Party! Everything is political my friends.
Household debt has hit a record high of $12.8 Trillion! This is the highest we have seen since the financial crisis bottomed in 2009. 30 day credit card delinquencies are on the rise standing at 6.2%. One year ago that same figure was 5.1%! 90 day credit card delinquencies are on the rise and this is a sign that the average consumer is being squeezed. The cracks in the very faulty U.S. economy are beginning to appear and this is not the recovery most people think that’s taking place. $51 Billion worth of auto loans last quarter went to people with a credit score under 660. (this is considered subprime) Folks, crap is about to hit the proverbial fan and understanding what’s coming next puts you leap years ahead of everyone else out there. Stay tuned.